The Reservoir Opportunity: How a Water Utility Used Bespoke Research and Strategy Advisory to Build the Business Case for Floating Solar Across Its Reservoir Portfolio
Executive Snapshot
Client
Situation/Challenge
Objective
Constancy Researchers Solution
Impact
Client Outcome
The Situation / Challenge
Floating solar — photovoltaic arrays deployed on the surface of reservoirs, lakes, and other water bodies — offers a distinctive value proposition that combines two infrastructure needs: it generates renewable electricity without competing for the land that solar developers and farmers both want, and it measurably reduces evaporation losses from the water bodies it covers, an increasingly material consideration for utilities managing water security in regions experiencing more frequent drought conditions.
The client recognised this dual value proposition in principle and had internal champions advocating for a floating solar programme across its reservoir portfolio, but lacked the reservoir-by-reservoir assessment needed to convert enthusiasm into an investable proposal.
Without this assessment, the floating solar proposal remained a general aspiration competing against other capital programmes with more rigorously quantified business cases — and aspirations rarely win capital allocation battles against rigour, regardless of how compelling the underlying logic appears.
Key Challenges
- No reservoir-by-reservoir technical assessment identifying which sites combined sufficient surface area, water depth, and bed stability for deployment
- No quantification of the evaporation reduction value specific to each reservoir’s surface area, regional climate conditions, and existing water security planning relevance
- No grid connection feasibility assessment determining which reservoirs offered cost-effective interconnection versus those requiring substantial new transmission infrastructure investment
- No environmental and permitting complexity screening distinguishing straightforward regulatory pathways from ecological sensitivities or recreational use conflicts
- A capital proposal process in which other infrastructure programmes with rigorously quantified business cases consistently outcompeted the floating solar proposal for available investment
- Board expectation that any capital commitment to a new infrastructure category be supported by portfolio-wide, site-specific analysis rather than a general directional case
Floating solar’s distinctive value proposition — generating renewable energy while reducing evaporation losses — is precisely the kind of dual-benefit infrastructure case that boards find compelling in principle and difficult to approve in practice without granular, site-specific evidence demonstrating where the theoretical benefit becomes a viable, fundable project.
Constancy Researchers Solution
Constancy Researchers designed a bespoke research programme structured around the unit of decision-making that actually mattered: the individual reservoir, evaluating each site against the specific technical, environmental, and commercial criteria that would determine genuine viability.
Reservoir-by-Reservoir Technical Viability Assessment
- Conducted bespoke technical research across the utility’s full reservoir portfolio — assessing surface area, water depth, bed stability, and seasonal water level variation against engineering requirements
- Identified eleven reservoirs meeting the baseline technical criteria for floating solar deployment, narrowing the initial portfolio-wide aspiration to a defined, evaluable shortlist
Evaporation Reduction Value Quantification
- Researched and modelled the evaporation reduction value specific to each shortlisted reservoir, incorporating regional evaporation rate data and achievable surface coverage
- Quantified that the combined evaporation reduction value across the eight highest-viability sites substantially exceeded the utility’s prior internal estimate
Grid Connection & Commercial Feasibility Research
- Assessed grid connection proximity, available capacity, and interconnection cost for each shortlisted reservoir, identifying which sites offered straightforward, cost-effective connection
- Found that eight of the eleven technically viable reservoirs also offered commercially attractive grid connection conditions
Environmental & Permitting Complexity Screening
- Screened each of the eight remaining reservoirs for ecological sensitivity, recreational use conflicts, and the likely complexity of the environmental permitting pathway
- Confirmed that two of the eight reservoirs offered a straightforward permitting pathway with limited ecological or recreational conflict
Phased Deployment Roadmap & Investment Case
- Translated the site-specific research into a phased deployment strategy, beginning with the two lowest-complexity, highest-viability reservoirs
- Delivered a board-ready investment case quantifying capital requirements, generation revenue, and evaporation reduction value across the full eight-site programme
The engagement converted a directional aspiration into a fundable, sequenced infrastructure programme — giving the board the site-specific rigour that had been missing from every previous version of the proposal.
Impact
- Technical viability research narrowed the full reservoir portfolio to eleven sites meeting baseline criteria
- Evaporation reduction value quantification revealed a water security benefit exceeding prior estimates
- Grid connection feasibility research identified eight reservoirs combining technical, environmental, and commercial viability
- Environmental screening identified the two lowest-complexity sites for an initial deployment phase
- The phased investment case gave the board a fundable, sequenced proposal rather than one large request
- The board approved the phased floating solar deployment programme on the strength of site-specific evidence
- Construction at the first reservoir began within eight months of strategy delivery
- The evaporation reduction value was incorporated into the utility’s regional water security planning
Client Outcome
Programme Approval
The board approved a phased floating solar deployment programme.
Site Prioritisation
Eight reservoirs were identified as viable, with the two lowest-complexity sites prioritised first.
Construction Initiated
Construction at the first reservoir began within eight months.
Water Security Integration
Evaporation reduction value was incorporated into regional water security planning for the first time.
Capital Efficiency
The phased approach allowed the board to commit capital incrementally, building confidence before scaling further.
Risk Management
Permitting complexity screening reduced execution risk by sequencing deployment toward the most straightforward regulatory pathways first.
Internal Capability
The initial phase was structured to build internal delivery capability ahead of scale-up.
Stakeholder Confidence
Site-specific evidence gave board members confidence that previous, less rigorous proposals had not provided.
Market Positioning
The utility was repositioned as an infrastructure operator capable of building rigorous, fundable business cases.
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